BAM FORM 6 – PROBABILITY

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           SUBTOPICS

i) Permutation and combination

ii) Probability of an event

iii) Combined events

iv) Mutual exclusive events

v) Independent events

vi) Application of probability

           1.   PERMUTATIONS AND COMBINATIONS

            Deal with arrangements of objects

            Factorial notation

            Consider the following pattern

                        2 x 1 = 2

                        3 x 2 x 1 = 6

                        4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 24

                        5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 120

                        6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 720

            Generally

            If you have and different objects, you can get

            n x (n – 1) x (n – 2) x (n – 3) x….. 3 x 2 x 1 different arrangements  

            n x (n – 1) x (n – 2) x (n – 3) x…… x 3 x 2 x 1 is called n – factorial  denoted by n!

            Examples

            2! = 2 x 1= 2

            3! = 3 x 2 x 1 = 6

            4! = 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 24

            5! = 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1  = 120

            6! = 6 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1  = 720

            0! = 1

         Exercise

1.  Evaluate each of the following

            a) 6!

            b) 8! / 3!

            c) (7 – 2)!

            d) 3! / 0!

            e) 5! / (5 – 2)! 2!

2. Simplify

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3.  Write the following in factorial form

            a) 4 x 3 x 2 x 1

            b) 6 x 5 x 4

          edu.uptymez.com                                                                                                                          

Solution

     1.     a.   6!   =  6 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 720

             b.  8! / 3! =    edu.uptymez.com = edu.uptymez.com = 6720

             c.   (7 – 2)   !

                   5! = 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 = 120

           edu.uptymez.com

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PERMUTATION AND COMBINATIONS

WAYS OF ARRANGING  UNLIKE OBJECTS

Examples

1.   How many different three numbers can be formed using the digits 9, 6  and 3

            Solution

            Digits 9, 6, 3

            Ways of science 3 3 3

            The total number of ways is 3 x 3 x 3 = 27

2.   How many 3 letters groups can be formed using the letters 0, N and W  provide each letter is used once?

            Solution

            Letters                                   O          N       W

Ways of selective                              3          2          1

Total number of ways                      =    3 x 2 x 1

                                                        =   6

PERMUTATIONS

Is arrangement of objects in a particular order.

Example

1.   How many ways three letters A B C can be arranged taking three at a  time?

                        Solution

            ABC, BCA, BAC, CAB, CBA, ACB

                        edu.uptymez.comThere are 6 ways ie 3p3 = 6

            Note:

            i) The upper 3 indicates the total number of objects

            ii) The lower 3 indicates the number of items used in making  arrangements

            ii How many three letters A, B, C can be arranged taking  two at a time?

            Solution.
AB, BA, CA, AC, BC, CB

           There are 6 ways

            i.e. 3p2 = 6

            Note

            The order of arrangement matters

            i.e. AB is different permutation from BA

            Generally

            To find npr i.e. the number of permutation of n different objects taking r at a time can be arranged as follows.

–      The 1st place can be filled in n different ways

–      The 2nd place can be filled in (n – 1) different ways

–      ”    3rd place ”       ”      ”   ” (n – 2)     ”           ”

–              rth       ”         ”         ‘ ‘     (n – r + 1)  ”         ”

nPr = n (n – 1) (n – 1) …… (n – r + 1) ……..i

 eqn (i) can be multiplied and divided by (n – r) (n – r – 1)     …….x 3 x 2 x 1

eqn i) becomes

edu.uptymez.com

2)  How many arrangements can be made from the word mathematics?

            solution 
m = 2, a = 2, t = 2

                        n =11
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                   edu.uptymez.com   

                        = 4, 989,600

COMBINATIONS

–      Is the selection of objects where order is not important

Example (1)

Three letters ABC may be arranged taking three at a time as follows

ABC, BCA, BAC, CAB, CBA, ACB

–      These are different permutations but the same combination

–      Denoted by, 3C3 = 1

Examples (2)

We may take the same letters; find the numbers of selections of the letters ABC, taking two at a time

            AB, AC, BC, BA, CA, CB

            AB, AC, BC

                        3C2

 Examples (3)

  In how many ways can r objects be chosen from n unlike objects?

The number of combination of n objects taking at time can be arranged in r!

The number of combination of n objects taking r at a time can be arranged in r

The numbers of permutations

                      = r! x nCr

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Note:

i)  nCr may be written as
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ii) nCo = 1,      nCn = 1,           nC1 = n

 Examples (4)

 A mixed hockey team containing 5 men and 6 women is to be chosen from 7 men and 9 women in how many ways can this be done?

            Solution

            5 men can be selected from 7 men in, 7C5 ways

            6 women can be selected from 9 men in, 9C5 ways        

            The combination will be,

            7C5 x 9C6

        edu.uptymez.com

               = 21 x 84

               = 1,764 ways

  Examples (5)

 Tabulate the different selections of two letters that can be made from the  letters TAKEN, deduce the value of 5C2

            Solution

            TAKEN

            TA, TK, TE, TN, AK, AE, AN, KE, KN, EN

           edu.uptymez.com

 Examples 6

 In how many ways can a cricket team be selected from 13 players? Hint a cricket team has 2 players.

            Solution

        edu.uptymez.com


Examples 7   

In ow many ways can a football team of 11 players can be chosen from a class of 15? In how many ways can be the 4 spectators be chosen
from the class of 15?

            Solution

           edu.uptymez.com

            Note: 
nCr = nCn-r

Exercise

1. From a list of 30 books, how many different groups of 22 books can be selected?

            Solution

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2.  How many different netball teams of 7 members can be formed from 18 players?

Solution
nCr = 18C7

                = 18!
(18 – 7)! 7!

            = 31′ 824

3.  A circle has 10 marked points, how many different & three – sided   figures which can be formed by joining any three of these points

            Solution

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4.  How many different committees comprising of 20 people can be formed from 25 people?

             Solution

          edu.uptymez.com

5. If a plane paper has 9 points in which no three points appear on the same straight line, how many distinct triangles can be formed by joining any three points?             

Solution

edu.uptymez.com

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